基于MODIS温度植被角度指数的农作物估产模型研究
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上海师范大学重点学科(DZL809)、国家自然科学基金(40801168)和上海市重点学科建设项目(S30406)


Crop yield forecast based on MODIS temperaturevegetation angel index
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    摘要:

    利用MODIS数据,以河北石家庄和邢台地区冬小麦产量估算为例,探讨了综合植被指数与陆表温度的温度植被角度指数在农作物估产中的应用研究.首先,根据冬小麦物候历,计算了冬小麦抽穗期四种参量指数:归一化植被指数(NDVI)、增强型植被指数(EVI)、温度植被角度指数(TVA)和增强型温度植被角度指数(ETVA);其次,将实测的冬小麦产量数据与NDVI、EVI、VTA和EVTA数据进行回归分析,建立模型.结果表明,实测产量数据与这四种指数均具有很好的线性回归关系,相关系数R2均在0.60以上(分别为0.61、0.65、0.68、0.74),其中基于TVA和ETVA的估产模型要好于NDVI和EVI模型.由此可见,综合了MODIS光学反射和辐射信息的TVA/ETVA,能有效应用于实践估产中,并提高预测的准确性.

    Abstract:

    To explore the effectiveness of TemperatureVegetation Angel Index in forecasting crop yield with MODIS, winter wheat yield forecast was taken as an example in Shijiazhuang and Xingtai city, Hebei province of China. Firstly, according to winter wheat biological characteristic, the four parameters of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), temperaturevegetation angel index (TVA) and enhanced temperaturevegetation angel index (ETVA) were calculated in heading stage. Secondly, the regressive models between groundbased measurements of winter wheat yield and NDVI, EVI, TVA and ETVA data from MODIS were established. It was found that there was significantly linear regressive relationship between yield and NDVI, EVI, TVA and ETVA. The correlation coefficient R2 between yield and NDVI, EVI, TVA and ETVA were 0.61、0.65、0.68 and 0.74, respectively. The models based on TVA and ETVA were better than that based on NDVI and EVI, especially the ETVA. This research shows that TVA/ETVA, which integrated vegetation index and land surface temperature, can be applied in yield forecast with improved forecast accuracy.

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林文鹏,黄敬峰,胡小猛,赵敏.基于MODIS温度植被角度指数的农作物估产模型研究[J].红外与毫米波学报,2010,29(6):476~480]. LIN Wen-Peng, HUANG Jing-Feng, HU Xiao-Meng, ZHAO Min. Crop yield forecast based on MODIS temperaturevegetation angel index[J]. J. Infrared Millim. Waves,2010,29(6):476~480.]

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  • 收稿日期:2010-03-08
  • 最后修改日期:2010-05-25
  • 录用日期:2010-04-06
  • 在线发布日期: 2010-11-22
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